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How then, do we move backwards? How does a society, with most of the people having no clue of future events, move from being dependent on a vast and intertwined network of goods and services produced by the indigenous people of whereever, to a local resource and renewable energy based society, and do so in the timeframe available (20-30 years using the most liberal extimates, 10-20 with resonable estimates, 5-10 with worst case scenarios), all the while prices on everything increasing, world politics getting more militaristic, governments continuously reducing civil liberties, shortages of goods on the market and weather patterns resembling bad Hollywood movies?

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Peak Oil News: Business News; Market Research

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Airlines emerge from profit-killing oil slick
Business News; Market ResearchIn early July, U.S. airline stocks were so battered you could buy one share each of five big airlines for less than the cost of checking a single bag.

With oil prices then approaching $150 a barrel and air travel demand sinking, Wall Street's view was that most of the USA's airlines were destined for bankruptcy reorganization — some for liquidation — when their cash ran out within 18 months. One or two, the thinking went, would be toast by spring.

Posted by Leanan on Thursday, August 21 @ 06:13:49 PDT (153 reads)
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Keynes and peak oil
Business News; Market Research

... The central problem in repeating Keynes’ exercise is that today the resource constraint has started to become compelling. In 1930, Keynes could extrapolate indefinitely the 2-per-cent-a-year growth of productivity and living standards that had been customary in “progressive countries” once modern industrialism had begun. The magic of ­compound interest is such that, over a century, growth at two per cent a year multiplies seven times. Keynes could assume – very reasonably – that the world’s production and consumption of oil, coal, copper, steel and so on would rise several-fold over the next 100 years.

By contrast, we cannot assume anything of the kind. The biggest problem comes with the most important single commodity, oil. Back in 1930, the motorcar and aeroplanes had been invented, but only a small fraction of the world’s population had driven a car or flown in a plane. The world’s oil consumption was about 5m barrels a day. Nowadays, with tens of millions more Asians becoming motorised and jet-lagged for the first time every year, the world’s oil consumption is 85 barrels a day, up 17 times from its 1930 level.

Posted by coyote on Wednesday, August 20 @ 22:00:24 PDT (279 reads)
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As gas prices go down, so will food, right? No
Business News; Market Research

Consumers hoping for easing of supercharged inflation likely won’t see it

NEW YORK - As prices for crude oil and other commodities ease, Americans have gotten a small dose of relief at the gas pump. But don't expect less pain at the grocery counter.

Food inflation is to stay — and will probably get worse for some things.

Posted by coyote on Wednesday, August 20 @ 21:43:29 PDT (204 reads)
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A few speculators dominate vast oil market
Business News; Market Research

Regulators: Swiss energy firm holds 11 percent of contracts on NYMEX

[...] when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission examined Vitol's books last month, it found that the firm was in fact more of a speculator, holding oil contracts as a profit-making investment rather than a means of lining up the actual delivery of fuel. Even more surprising to the commodities markets was the massive size of Vitol's portfolio -- at one point in July, the firm held 11 percent of all the oil contracts on the regulated New York Mercantile Exchange.

Posted by coyote on Wednesday, August 20 @ 21:39:40 PDT (153 reads)
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The Economist Hosts Online Debate About Energy Security
Business News; Market ResearchThe Economist Debate Series announces its eleventh online debate (www.economist.com/debate) focused on the current issue of energy security. The proposition for this debate is: "This house believes that we can solve our energy problems with existing technologies today, without the need for breakthrough innovations."

The proposition will be debated over the course of two weeks from August 19 to August 29, 2008. The Economist encourages anyone interested in the topic to join the conversation, contribute opinions and cast a vote for or against the proposition. The winner will be decided by popular vote on Friday August 29, 2008.

Posted by Leanan on Wednesday, August 20 @ 08:12:57 PDT (173 reads)
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Business leaders: Make renewable energy cheaper
Business News; Market Research

LAS VEGAS: Representatives from Google Inc. and General Electric Co. said Tuesday that widespread use of renewable energy in United States would be possible — if it were cheaper.

Renewable energy options will remain "boutique" industries unless their costs are cut to make them competitive with coal and other widely used power sources, said Dan Reicher, director for climate change and energy initiatives at Google.org, the company's philanthropic arm.

Posted by coyote on Tuesday, August 19 @ 22:38:54 PDT (161 reads)
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Consortium to build biggest U.S. oil import terminal
Business News; Market Research

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A consortium of oil pipeline and storage companies plans to invest $1.8 billion to build the United States' biggest deepwater oil import terminal in Texas, the companies said on Monday.

The terminal will have double the import capacity of the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, currently the only oil terminal in the United States capable of handling the biggest oil tankers.

Posted by coyote on Monday, August 18 @ 16:46:56 PDT (232 reads)
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Shock waves spread as oil bubble bursts
Business News; Market Research

THE exposure of the oil price boom as a speculative bubble has been the catalyst for a change in world financial flows, and the ripples are now spreading through currency, commodity and financial markets.

[...] Evans cites the definition of speculative bubbles by Yale economist Robert Shiller, who says they arise when news of price increases spurs the enthusiasm of an ever larger class of investors who, despite doubts about the real value of the investment, "are drawn to it partly through envy of the other's successes and partly through a gambler's excitement".

Peak oil -- the theory that the world's oilfields are in irreversible decline -- was the elixir that got investors going.

Posted by coyote on Sunday, August 17 @ 22:25:35 PDT (417 reads)
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Energy Sector Remains a Global Investing Wild Card
Business News; Market Research

[...] This energy-price conundrum doesn’t stop there, either, as such geopolitical “wild cards” as the Russian invasion of Georgia continue to whipsaw prices. Even with such tensions, however, energy traders brushed aside concerns about major supply disruptions – not the response we would’ve seen just a few months back. Late last week, in fact, oil prices took cues from the newfound strength in the dollar and dropped below $112 a barrel, a number not even imaginable in mid-July, when crude-oil prices reached a record level of $147.

All’s well on the Energy Front, it seems.

Posted by coyote on Sunday, August 17 @ 22:10:07 PDT (179 reads)
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Inflation gets right down to the real nitty-gritty
Business News; Market Research

As energy prices continue to rise, even dirt isn't cheap anymore

Dirt and its upmarket cousins offer a glimpse of how rising energy prices have caused inflation in the grittier corners of the consumer culture. Products that are cheap, heavy and bulky, such as bags of soil, are particularly vulnerable to rising freight costs.

Posted by coyote on Saturday, August 16 @ 22:31:20 PDT (281 reads)
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Automakers fret over resale values of trucks, SUVs
Business News; Market ResearchTRAVERSE CITY, Mich. — Phil Awker's ad for a used 2004 Chevrolet Suburban has been languishing in an online classified for more than two months, even though it's priced $6,000 less than book value.

Billy Roach's 2002 Jeep Wrangler has been up for a month on Philadelphia's Craigslist. He just wants to pay off his loan, Roach says, and he's hoping to get about $10,000 for it. Book value is about $2,000 less than that.

Posted by Leanan on Thursday, August 14 @ 07:38:53 PDT (514 reads)
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Automotive 2020 Global Study
Business News; Market Research

New Breed of Consumers Seek Intelligent, Connected and Hybrid Vehicles in 'Virtual Garages'
IBM Offers Five Imperatives for the Future of the Automotive Industry

TRAVERSE CITY, MI, Aug 13, 2008 -- The IBM Automotive 2020 Study, based on a global collaboration with 125 automotive industry leaders, today revealed an industry grappling with significant change driven by increasingly sophisticated consumers.

Posted by coyote on Wednesday, August 13 @ 19:27:26 PDT (370 reads)
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Airlines embrace oil decline, but no time to party
Business News; Market Research

CHICAGO/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A 23 percent drop in oil prices since mid-July brightens the outlook for troubled airlines, but clouds remain thick over the industry, with little hope that carriers will scale back downsizing plans or repeal unpopular fees.

The U.S. airline industry has fallen on hard times, as rising fuel prices have far outpaced a series of fare hikes that began in 2006. Economic weakness, meanwhile, threatens to erode demand and rob carriers of the pricing power they reclaimed in the wake of a low-fare war with newer, leaner airlines.

Posted by coyote on Wednesday, August 13 @ 18:41:44 PDT (281 reads)
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Automakers scramble to offer more fuel efficiency
Business News; Market Research

TRAVERSE CITY, Mich (Reuters) - Chrysler LLC on Wednesday outlined plans to launch a new car-based SUV modeled after the Jeep Cherokee, as other major automakers took the spotlight at an industry conference to pitch their own hurried responses to the surging demand for more fuel-efficient cars.

A senior Ford Motor Co executive said the No. 2 U.S. automaker expects small car sales to increase sharply and achieve double-digit growth in profit margins on a class of fuel-efficient vehicles U.S. automakers had long neglected in their home market.

Posted by coyote on Wednesday, August 13 @ 18:38:04 PDT (286 reads)
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8 Ways to Profit if OPEC Dumps the Dollar
Business News; Market Researchvirgincrude writes:

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad dropped a bombshell. And while it wasn’t a nuclear one, it might as well have been.

He stated on the record at a rare gathering of the heads of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries [OPEC] member nations have expressed a real interest in converting their cash reserves from the beleaguered U.S. greenback to the European euro. More specifically, Ahmadinejad referred to the U.S. dollar as "a worthless piece of paper."

Posted by Leanan on Wednesday, August 13 @ 03:58:39 PDT (719 reads)
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Old Articles
Tuesday, August 12
· Escalade is latest SUV to get hybridized
· Rattled Caspian energy investors likely to sit tight
· Overbuilt market creating modern ghost towns
· Is the Commodities Bull Market Over?
Sunday, August 10
· Energy stocks undervalued, rebound seen: Barron's
· Chinese cars you could soon see in the U.S.
Saturday, August 09
· Big Oil, No Mojo
· Getting More Constructive on Crude Oil
· Oil prices turn bearish, but the bulls may yet return
Thursday, August 07
· The great oil bubble has burst
Tuesday, August 05
· Chinese and Indian oil giants in battle for Imperial Energy
Monday, August 04
· GM Executive Raises Natural Gas As Alternative To Gasoline
· Oil companies seek to add value through split
Sunday, August 03
· SemGroup woes have ripple effect
· Kuwait official sees oil staying above $100: report
· Fed to sit tight on rates as oil prices moderate
· Big Oil's biggest quarter ever: $51.5B in all
Saturday, August 02
· Shipping Costs Start to Crimp Globalization
Friday, August 01
· Weathering the Storm
· Missing the real story

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